These files contain spatial fields of simulated yearly thermosteric sea-level anomalies between 1951-2100 (referenced to year
1800) from a perturbed physics ensemble experiment using the University of Victoria Earth System Model (UVic). Thermosteric
sea-level anomalies are derived from changes in density, which are calculated using the model's temperature and salinity fields.
The ensemble varies 3 parameters controlling the model's equilibrium climate sensitivity (CS), background vertical diffusivity
in the ocean (KV), and radiative effects of atmospheric sulfate aerosols (ASC). These parameters are varied over the following
ranges: CS-(1.1, 1.6, 2.2, 2.6, 3.1, 4.0, 5.4, 6.5, 8.2, 11.2); KV-(0.1, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5); ASC-(0.00, 0.75, 1.50, 2.25,
3.00). The unique parameter combination for each ensemble member is reflected in the variable name, where we have multiplied
the parameter values by 100 to display as integer values. For the projection phase of the ensemble (2005-2100), we use atmospheric
forcings from the RCP8.5 scenario. These forcings include atmospheric CO2 concentrations, radiative forcings from non-CO2
greenhouse gases, and spatially resolved changes in albedo associated with direct effects of sulfate aerosols. See Sriver
et al., 2012 for complete discussion.
Citation
Title Thermosteric Sea Level Rise Projections with Parametric Uncertainty
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